Forecast of fenestration industry trends by FGIA

SCHAUMBURG, Ill. — The Fenestration and Glazing Industry Alliance (FGIA) released the FGIA 2024/2025 study of the U.S. Market for windows, doors and skylights. This bi-annual report delivers information on residential and non-residential market trends and product relationships for both residential and non-residential fenestration products. Forecasts are based on projections of construction activity as of May 2024.


Total housing starts fell by 9 percent in 2023, with the largest declines in multi-family at 14 percent and manufactured housing at 21 percent, following smaller declines in 2022. The overall new housing market is expected to increase in 2024 and 2025 before a forecasted decline in 2026.

The demand for prime windows fell by 8.5 percent in 2023, while the demand for windows in new housing increased by 10 percent, with an increase of 4 percent forecasted for 2024 and 2 percent in 2025 before flattening in 2026. Remodeling and replacement window demand fell in 2023 by 8 percent and is forecast to shrink in 2024 by 5 percent, with slow growth of 2 percent in 2025 and 2026.

In the residential market, new construction demand for entry doors declined by 4 percent in 2023. Meanwhile, entry door remodeling and replacement demand, which continues to represent a significantly larger share of total demand, declined 8 percent. The total market declined by 6 percent versus 2022 and is expected to grow in 2024 through 2026.

In 2023, the market for residential skylights closed the year with a growth rate of 5 percent over 2022 volume. New construction skylight activity was down 8 percent, while remodeling and replacement skylight activity was up 10 percent versus 2022.


Contract awards reflect activity related to new construction and additions to existing structures. Actual fenestration shipments for non-residential building activity typically lag contract awards by up to one year. This cycle can shorten or lengthen depending on the complexity of a building and when the specific building product is installed during the construction cycle.

The 2023 contract award total saw a 13 percent decrease from 2022. The manufacturing/warehouse category decreased by 27 percent in 2023, while contract awards in office/hotel/institutional and in-store/mercantile increased by 7 percent. Contract awards are expected to increase by about 6 percent in 2024 and continue growing in 2025.

Storefront windows represent the largest market segment by vision area with 27.2 percent of the non-residential glazing in 2023, followed by site-fabricated windows representing 26.9 percent.

The 2023 market for non-residential entry doors in the U.S. showed a significant increase, with 2023 volume up 9 percent over 2022 and 6 percent since 2021.

The study estimates that the total U.S. market for commercial unit skylights in 2023 represents a 5 percent increase from 2021. Unit sizes average in the range of 22 to 25 square feet but vary dramatically. Nearly all commercial unit skylights are aluminum framed, and most use a form of plastic glazing. Acrylic is the most common. In 2023, new construction applications represented approximately 33 percent of the total, the same as 2021.


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Dakota Smith | Editorial Intern

Dakota Smith is an undergraduate student at New Jersey City University studying English and Creative Writing. He is a writer at heart, and a cook by trade. His career goal is to become an author. At Woodworking Network, Dakota is an editorial intern, ready to dive into the world of woods and words.